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Two-thirds of French believe Muslim migration is a threat


Two-thirds of the French believe that white, European, Christian populations are “threatened with extinction” by immigration from Muslim and African countries.

Sixty percent of French people said such a scenario will “definitely” or “probably” happen in the country when asked by pollsters, who published the results last week.

The question was posed in the run-up to next year’s election, where Emmanuel Macron will almost certainly face one of the two right-wing candidates: Marine Le Pen or Eric Zemmour.

Two-thirds of French believe ‘European, white and Christian’ populations are ‘threatened with extinction’ by Muslim immigration from Africa, poll finds (file)

The poll was conducted to test belief in the idea of ​​a 'Grand Replacement', a concept touted by Eric Zemmour - a right-wing pundit who could face Macron in next year's election.

The poll was conducted to test belief in the idea of ​​a ‘Grand Replacement’, a concept touted by Eric Zemmour – a right-wing pundit who could face Macron in next year’s election.

Central to Zemmour’s ideology is the idea of ​​’The Great Replacement’, a theory by Renaud Camus who argues that Christian civilization is being deliberately replaced with the help of Muslim immigration from Africa in a conspiracy of global capitalists.

The poll, conducted by Harris Interactive, intended to test whether or not voters believe in the concept — despite it being widely panned by experts.

The question put to voters, based on Camus’ definition, was: “Some people speak of the “great replacement”: that European, white and Christian populations are threatened with extinction as a result of immigration of Muslims from the Maghreb [northern Africa] and black Africa. Do you see such a phenomenon?’

It found that 61 percent of French people believe the phenomenon could happen in France, and 27 percent say they are “sure” that it will happen.

Only 39 percent of people said it “probably” or “definitely” won’t happen.

Among those who said it will “definitely” or “probably” happen, support for the idea was about evenly distributed across all age groups and genders.

However, it varied widely depending on political preference.

More than 90 percent of supporters of Le Pen’s RN party believed it was a likely scenario, while only 30 percent of Green said the same.

Perhaps worryingly for Macron, 52 percent of his own party’s supporters believed it was a likely scenario.

A follow-up question asked whether Frenchmen were ‘concerned’ or ‘not concerned’ about the idea of ​​a ‘Great Replacement’.

This found that even more people — 67 percent — were concerned about the idea, compared to just 33 percent who weren’t.

Marine Le Pen

Emmanuel Macron

Opinion polls have suggested for years that Marine Le Pen (left) will face Emmanuel Macron (right) for the French presidency, but Zemmour could now beat her

The issue of migration and its impact on French identity will become a major theme of the upcoming elections, as Zemmour – who has yet to declare his candidacy – threatens to usurp Le Pen in order to have a chance to tackle Macron.

Zemmour – a notorious figure in France for his anti-Islam and anti-migration views which he espouses in essays and in his new TV show – now ranks higher than Le Pen in some polls ahead of the vote next April.

Le Pen appears to be leaking support to Zemmour as she tries to move herself to the center in an attempt to portray herself as a serious candidate – last time she lost to Macron on the second ballot

By contrast, Zemmour is openly on the far right, declaring that the suburbs of Paris are being “colonized” by Muslim migrants with large families, who he says will make up the majority of the population by the middle of the century.

Statisticians say this argument is deeply flawed, but polls show his arguments are resonating with voters.

He also has two hate speech convictions, including during a broadcast that France is being “invaded” by Muslims and must give them an ultimatum: “Choose between Islam and France.”

France’s turn to the political right comes after a string of terror attacks that have seen voters demanding politicians take a tougher stance on extremism.

Teacher Samuel Paty was beheaded at a school near Paris last year after showing students a cartoon of the prophet Mohammed to students just weeks before a second attack at Nice Cathedral killed three.

In the wake of Paty’s assassination, Macron took a noticeably tougher stance against Islamic extremism — declaring that France would “never give up” on expressing freedom of expression, including signing pictures of Mohammed.

That led to mass demonstrations in many Muslim-majority countries, led by Turkish President Erdogan, who denounced the remarks.


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