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Poll shows Joe would get the same percentage of votes as Trump if the 2024 election were held today

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Biden’s support among independents plummets from 54% in 2020 election to 28%: Polls show Joe would get the same percentage of votes as Trump if the 2024 election were held today

  • President Joe Biden’s support among independents has collapsed, new polls, which could be a bad sign for Democrats entering the 2022 midterms
  • While Biden received the support of 54 percent of independents in last year’s presidential election, that support now stands at 28 percent.
  • That means that if the 2024 presidential election were held today, Biden and former President Donald Trump would each win 40 percent of the vote.
  • Grinnell College’s national poll also shows Biden’s approval score at 37 percent, which is on the low side of current polls.
  • Biden gets just 27 percent approval for immigration and 38 percent for economics, study finds










President Joe Biden’s support among independents has collapsed, new polls say, which could be a bad sign for Democrats entering the 2022 midterms.

A new national poll from Grinnell College found that while Biden received the support of 54 percent of independents in last year’s presidential election, that support now stands at 28 percent.

That means if the 2024 presidential election were held today — and it was a rematch between Biden and former President Donald Trump — both candidates would get 40 percent of the vote, while 14 percent of the US electorate would choose someone else.

President Joe Biden has lost support among independents, while former President Donald Trump has gained that support, meaning the Democrat and Republican would get the same percentage of voters if the 2024 election were held today

Former President Donald Trump

President Joe Biden

Trump (left) receives less support among Republicans than Biden (right) among Democrats, but Biden’s popularity with independents has plummeted since last year’s presidential race, new polls

Biden polls Democrats better than Trump Republicans.

Biden has the support of nearly 90 percent of Democrats, while Trump has the support of 80 percent of Republicans.

Now, however, a larger percentage of independents support Trump.

The ex-president gets 45 percent of that group, compared to Biden’s 28 percent.

Selzer & Company pollster J. Ann Selzer called it a “massive shift” in a statement.

“The president has time to turn his political fortunes around,” said Peter Hanson, director of Grinnell College’s national poll. “But if it doesn’t happen soon, Democrats are likely to face some serious reckoning in the 2022 midterm elections.”

The poll also shows Biden’s approval rating at 37 percent, which is on the low end of current polls.

Biden’s Real Clear Politics polling average stands at 42 percent approval – and includes the Grinnell survey.

The president also gets low grades on how he handles immigration.

Only 27 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove.

He also received a 38 percent approval for the economy, while 53 percent disapproved of it.

Just 36 percent of Americans said they believe the economy will be in better shape in 12 months – down 11 points from March.

“Right now, the math is simple: A majority of Americans believe the economy will do worse in 12 months than it is today, and that pessimism is keeping President Biden’s approval numbers in the basement,” Hanson said.

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